钦州湾内湾茅尾海营养状况分析与评价研究

根据2011年-2012年茅尾海水质监测调查资料分析其营养特征,结果显示:茅尾海总体处于中度富营养状态,时空差异较为明显,以夏季最为严重,从湾顶河口往南部湾口减轻.有机污染等级为轻至中度,空间分布与富营养状况相似.水体盐度以湾顶河口区域向中南部呈梯度递增,与富营养化指数(EI)、有机污染指数(AI)、化学需氧量(COD)、亚硝酸盐(NH2-N)、硝酸盐(NO3-N)、铵盐(NH4-N)、溶解态无机氮(DIN)呈显著负相关,表明湾顶钦江、茅岭江的入海污染是茅尾海富营养和有机污染的主要物质来源,其径流输入与外湾潮流运动综合作用对茅尾海营养分布特征具有控制作用.茅尾海丰、枯水期氮磷比分别为60、18,丰、平水期均以磷营养限制为主,茅岭江是该海湾溶解态无机磷(DIP)的主要贡献者.DIP与盐度、EI、AI相关性不显著,对富营养和有机污染程度的贡献相比COD、DIN较为有限.     

杭州湾表层海水营养盐分布特征及富营养化状况研究

根据2015年3月和8月杭州湾的海水质量监测数据,分析了该海域的营养盐分布特征以及富营养化状况,结果表明:杭州湾表层海水无机氮变化范围为0.36~4.22 mg/L,活性磷酸盐的含量范围为0.014~1.51 mg/L,化学需氧量含量范围为0.56~3.18 mg/L.该海域无机氮和活性磷酸盐超标严重,表层海水已处于重度富营养化状态,调查站位EI均大于1.该海域表层海水无机氮、活性磷酸盐、化学需氧量和富营养化指数高值区均与陆源入海口、养殖区、排污口等人类活动影响较大的区域有关.     

三峡前置库汉丰湖试运行年水体水质现状及控制效果评估

三峡汉丰湖是世界范围较罕见的专为减弱消落带影响而修建的前置库,也是中国最大城市人工湖体,自汉丰湖试运行后,山水林田湖生态效益及建设宜居城市的社会效益显著.本文以三峡汉丰湖为研究对象,对汉丰湖试运行年支流来水及湖体断面进行水文、水质分层监测,包括水文参数(v、H等)、物理参数(T、pH、SD、DO、TSS等)、化学参数(高锰酸盐指数、Chl-a、TN、DN、NO_3~--N、NH_4~+-N、NO_2~--N、TP、DP、SRP等)共17个指标.监测结果表明:1 2月、10月等开始泄水蓄水时期水质较差,南河支流来水断面水质最差,调节坝出水断面最好;2汉丰湖水体总体呈轻度富营养化,主要污染指标为DN、TN、NO_3~--N、TP;3汉丰湖在试运行年对水体富营养化控制效果显著,Chl-a年平均消减率57.73%,高锰酸盐指数年平均消减率28.12%,SRP、TP、TN、TSS、NO_2~--N、DN、DP等年平均消减率20.15%~22.81%,NH_4~+-N、NO_3~--N等年平均消减率16.92%~18.74%,水体年平均富营养化指数降低15.74%.研究表明,1~3月、10~12月高水位湖泊形态试运行期间对各水质指标消减率高于5~8月河流形态时期,汉丰湖试运行良好,对水体富营养化控制效果显著,可消减三峡入库水体污染物浓度.     

辽宁省沿海经济带经济与环境协调度时空演变研究

协调度理论已成为衡量区域经济增长与环境保护协调发展的重要理论。在阐述其理论的基础上,选取了经济与环境方面的评价指标、计算方法和模型。通过对辽宁省沿海经济带及其6市2000年、2002年、2004年、2006年、2008年、2009年的17项指标进行技术处理和分析,对经济带各市的经济与环境协调发展度进行了时空演变研究。结果表明,经济带及其6市10年间协调发展度在时间维度上呈现逐年上升,其类型由中度失调衰退型和濒临失调衰退型逐渐向中级协调发展型和高级协调发展型演变;经济带经济环境协调发展度整体水平逐年升高;经济带的经济综合实力f（x）和环境承载力g（y）差距不大,经济发展与环境保护基本保持同步,在环境承载力范围内经济综合实力有进一步发展的空间。     

成都非物质文化遗产保护研究

如何将非物质文化遗产保护与成都国家历史文化名城发展相结合是成都非物质文化遗产保护面临的首要任务。以成都非物质文化遗产保护为关注焦点,强调了其研究意义,分析了其保护现状与现存问题,如保护意识淡薄、保护方法不当等,从保护规划、制度及措施等方面提出了具体保护对策,并指出应注意的问题,为深入开展成都非物质文化遗产保护研究,科学开展成都"非遗"保护工作,推动其科学发展与和谐发展提供新思路。     

A Contemporary,Sex‐Limited Change in Body Size of an Estuarine Turtle in Response to Commercial Fishing

Abstract: Juvenile growth rate and adult body size are important components of life‐history strategies because of their direct impact on fitness. The diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin) is a sexually dimorphic, long‐lived turtle inhabiting brackish waters throughout the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of the United States. In parts of its range, terrapins face anthropogenically imposed mortality: juveniles of both sexes inadvertently enter commercial crab traps and drown. For adult females, the carapace eventually grows large enough that they cannot enter traps, whereas males almost never reach that critical size. We compared age structure, carapace dimensions, growth curves, and indices of sexual dimorphism for a Chesapeake Bay population of terrapins (where mortality of turtles is high due to crab traps) with contemporary terrapins from Long Island Sound and museum specimens from Chesapeake Bay (neither group subject to commercial crab traps). We also calculated the allochronic and synchronic rates of evolutionary change (haldanes) for males and females to measure the rate of trait change in a population or between populations, respectively. We found a dramatic shift to a younger male age structure, a decrease in the length of time to terminal female carapace size, a 15% increase in female carapace width, and an increase in sexual dimorphism in Chesapeake Bay. In a new twist, our results implicate a fishery in the selective increase in size of a reptilian bycatch species. These sex‐specific changes in life history and demography have implications for population viability that need to be considered when addressing conservation of this threatened turtle.     

北京入境旅游流西向扩散与省域经济联系研究——以西部三大典型区为例

北京是我国经济、政治和文化中心,也是我国最重要的入境口岸之一。入京旅游流西向的扩散转移对省域之间旅游经济联系强度具有极大的直接促进作用,转移态是反映旅游流流向和流量的重要指标。在对我国西部三大典型旅游区界定的基础上,利用转移态指数模型和旅游经济联系强度模型对入京旅游流向西转移态及其与西部三大典型旅游区的经济联系强度进行了相关性分析,得出入京旅游流西向转移态对西部典型区经济的影响程度为:成渝泛西安云贵,在此基础上分析了原因,并对西部三大典型旅游区如何更好地吸引北京入境旅游"二手客源",以促进旅游业更快发展提出了相应对策与建议。     

城域突发事故灾害发生机理探索

城域突发事故灾害发生机理涉及事故灾害致因、演化过程、发展规律3个主要方面;从典型事故致因理论入手,探索城域突发事故灾害致因有本质原因、基础原因和直接原因;事故致因要素之间的综合作用是城域突发事故灾害发生机理研究的关键,可考虑建立与之对应的数学模型,运用突变理论,对演化过程进行分析,指出城域突发事故灾害演化是一个流变-突变过程,并满足尖点突变模型,引发因素和控制因素两个参数决定事故状态的变化;总结城域突发事故灾害的发展规律,指出城域突发事故灾害沿链条传递,并呈现一定周期性,研究成果可为事故灾害的预防与控制提供借鉴。     

基于复杂系统的民族地区非常规突发事件应急管理研究

民族地区非常规突发事件属罕见非常规突发事件,是典型的复杂系统。传统的应急管理模式不能适应这类具有非线性复杂系统特征的罕见非常规突发事件的应急管理需求。因此,应该将民族地区的各类民族因素和社会特征作为民族地区非常规突发事件应急管理研究的基础变量,并进行复杂性分析,进而构建民族地区非常规突发事件演化规律的可视化仿真模型,然后在PeMS(平行应急管理系统)的基础上实现对该类突发事件应急管理机制的评估、反馈与改进。     

Water Governance and Water Use Efficiency: The Five Principles of WUA Management and Performance in China1

Wang, Jinxia, Jikun Huang, Lijuan Zhang, Qiuqiong Huang, and Scott Rozelle, 2010. Water Governance and Water Use Efficiency: The Five Principles of WUA Management and Performance in China. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 46(4): 665-685. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2010.00439.x Abstract: In recent years China has attempted to reform water management by decentralizing water management responsibilities. The overall goal of our paper is to better understand the emergence of water user associations (WUAs) in China and assess if they are adhering to the practices spelled out by the Five Principles, a set of recommended practices that are supposed to lead to successful WUA operation. Using four sets of different types of villages to examine implementation and performance, we find that World Bank-supported WUA villages (“Bank villages”) can be thought of as operating mostly according to the Five Principles. For example, the Bank villages were endowed with a more reliable water supply; were set up and were operating with a relatively high degree of farmer participation; and leaders were more consultative and the process more formal. When WUAs are run according to the Five Principals, we show that WUAs increase water use efficiency. The study also provides evidence that there is a perception in the Bank villages that water management is improving in general and that there is less conflict both within the village and among villages. Perhaps more importantly, we find that the Bank’s effort to promote WUAs extended beyond their own project villages. The openness, consultative nature, and transparency found in the Bank WUAs are also found (albeit at a somewhat lower level) in the non-Bank WUA villages.